Impact of Inter Firm Cooperation on Social Welfare under Demand Uncertainty

نویسندگان

  • Sudip Gupta
  • Neeraj Prasad
  • Venkat Chandrasekar
چکیده

Fair sharing and efficient allocation of risks, returns and resources are considered cornerstones of Public Private Partnerships. However, allocation of certain risks, like demand risks, have emerged as pain points. This paper examines the impact of demand uncertainty on a firm’s bidding behavior. Applying econometric models, to check for inconsistencies in firm behavior, on bid data of toll roads awarded by the National Highway Authority of India, the paper identifies firm pairs which cooperate. Then, the paper illustrates that higher leverage and GDP growth volatility leads to a higher propensity to cooperate. In general, it is shown that firms which cooperate tend to bid more aggressively. Adjusted for probability of failure, bids by cooperating firms generate additional revenue of INR 2.8 million per kilometer for the government, and lead to a higher net social surplus. Finally, it is shown that had inter firm cooperation been nonexistent, net revenue to the government would have been 35 % lower.

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تاریخ انتشار 2011